Weekly Update 2025-12-28: Crystal Ball Edition
What happened during the week of December 22nd - December 28th:
๐ฅ Last week's hectic work pace was immediately replaced by the holiday lull. Both Wednesday 12-24 and Friday 12-26 were really quiet, which was something of a relief. I know this is temporary, especially since health issues never take a holiday, but I'll take the peace where I can get it.
๐ต๐ป Unfortunately, the prior sentence is a deliberate segue. My grandmother entered hospice care on Tuesday 12-23, with pre-established orders to terminate food delivery and medications. She will only allow specific pain medications to be administered, so the end could come quickly...or in keeping with her all-Italian stubborn nature, she could live to ring in 2026. Her 94th birthday will be at the end of January, though it is highly doubtful she will live to see it. When she passes, she will end the line of my grandparents, either biological or through marriage.
๐ธ On Monday 12-22, I found out that I was approved as a contributor for 35mmc! Last week's prediction of missing the Sunday cutoff turned out to be true, but that didn't stop me from submitting my Photo Of The Year article. If by some Christmas miracle it gets published, I'll of course include a link, but it's likely it won't be published until 2026.
๐ฎ As this is my last weekly update for 2025, I will try something different here and make some predictions for 2026. This may be a one-off thing or an annual series--who knows? Anyway, take some of these predictions with the proverbial salt grain:
- 2026 will be like 1881, as we will see three Presidents in one calendar year. Trump will pass away somewhat early in the year, and Vance will have a turmoil-filled presidency marred by infighting that costs him his job. His successor will either be Miller or a Miller proxy.
- Nativist paranoia will affect the 2026 World Cup, possibly to the point of US matches being moved to Canada or Mexico. This paranoia will also impact plans for the 2028 Olympics in Los Angeles as well as the 2034 Olympics in Utah.
- The NFL playoffs are wide open, so I'll just predict the last four teams I believe will be left standing for their respective conference championships: LA Rams and Chicago Bears for the NFC; Buffalo Bills and Jacksonville Jaguars for the AFC. I'll be on safer ground predicting that the Dodgers will repeat as World Series champions, then we will see a baseball lockout by owners which will drag into 2027 and cause long-term fan damage to the sport. San Antonio will win an NBA Championship, and a Canadian team will finally win the Stanley Cup, causing NHL Commissioner Gary Bettman to resign early in disgust. As for Major League Soccer, it'll be Inter Miami winning once again.
- College football will announce a rapid and ridiculous expansion of its Division I-A playoffs to 32 teams, effective in 2030. There will be both a play-in round for low seeds and a first-round bye for the highest seed, just to needlessly complicate matters. The NCAA will start making noises about reducing the number of I-A teams from its current 136, even mooting the idea of downranking entire conferences to Division I-AA or splitting Division II into two subdivisions. The announced playoffs still won't satisfy members of the Big 10 and SEC, as they don't like the idea of "lesser" conferences being represented in the expanded playoffs. Talks begin amongst them to form a "Super League" that sits atop of the existing NCAA Division I-A structure.
- Marijuana and gambling become legal at the federal level as a way to placate and distract the populace from the increased activities of ICE. The Vance/Miller administrations begin laying plans by 2030 for a national ID to be carried around as proof of US citizenship, making the "papers please" line less of a joke about totalitarian states and more of a description of life in the US. A digital ID will be issued first, followed by an official ID card; both will supersede state licenses and IDs for the purposes of proving citizenship. Various law enforcement agencies at all levels will be required to ask for the ID along with any other document, be it issued by a US state or even a passport. Numerous online services and sites will require the ID for access.
- 2026 midterm elections go poorly for the Vance/Miller administration. If Vance is still in office at the time, he will be deemed the scapegoat for this failure and forced to resign (or will be subject to removal by the 25th Amendment). If Miller or a proxy is in office, the results will be challenged and/or deemed void.
- One of the following world leaders will die in 2026: Putin, Netanyahu, Erdogan. The successor will make their predecessor look sweet and friendly by comparison. Related, one or more of the following leaders will be forced to resign: Starmer, Macron, Carney. Fights over their successor will be ugly.
- AI won't collapse in 2026, but it will become less relevant much to the chagrin of the administration(s) and tech billionaires. One of these same tech billionaires will OD in 2026, but nobody will have learned anything from their death or express sadness over their passing.
That's all I have from my crystal ball. Enjoy the last few days of 2025, and I'll see you in 2026.
A Couple Two Tree Items To Note From Last Week:
External Actions
- ๐ก Create: Submitted the 35mmc article, as mentioned earlier.
- โ๏ธ Health: Usual round of three 7-minute workouts this week.
- ๐ฅ Meet: Picked up some Private Press beers at Side Project Cellar on Tuesday 12-23. Attended Christmas liturgy at church on the evening of Wednesday 12-24. Lots of shopping for kitchenware items on Saturday 12-27, though I wasn't able to find a cocktail strainer so I ordered it online.
Internal Labor
- ๐๏ธ Organize: Picked up my car after $2100 of repairs on Friday 12-26, but I'll have to return next week as the Check Engine light came back on again. Dropped off some clothing at Savers on Friday 12-26 and picked up some replacement shirts. Bought replacement pants at LL Bean on Friday 12-26, which should arrive before the year ends. Sorted through health items on Sunday 12-28 to replace them with those purchased with FSA funds. Made one last FSA purchase for 2025 on Sunday 12-28.
- ๐ฌ Test: Installed Triton, an omg.lol client (macOS). Deleted Anytype, Downie and Network Utility (macOS). Deleted Crosswords, Digg, and My Spectrum (iOS).
Media
- ๐ Listen: W. David Marx - Blank Space: A Cultural History of the 21st Century, On Margins; Episode 620 - FoBAB Winners 2025, ABV Chicago; Errant Space Podcast 129: December Drones with wormlogo, Errant Space
- ๐ Read: A 2,200 mile EV test drive from Texas to Oregon, A Whole Lotta Nothing; The key points under discussion on policies affecting foreign nationals, Japan Times; Stick over carrot approach doesn't help foreign residents integrate, professor says, Japan Times
- ๐ฅ๏ธ Watch: Riding Japanโs Largest Hand-Made Railway in Residential Area, YouTube, travelgeek; How To Protect Yourself Against Hunger. Part 1 - Larry Dickem, YouTube, Larry Dickem; Turkey Necks Are The Key To Seasoning Your Collard Greens!, YouTube, Larry Dickem; Overnight in Japanโs $24 Train Hotel on Abandoned Railway | Train Inn, YouTube, travelgeek
Obligations:
- ๐ผ Job: Holiday lull, as mentioned earlier.
- ๐ฏ Tasks: No significant or out-of-the-ordinary obligations this week to mention.
More Info About The Media Selections From This Week:
There are so many best-of and year-end wrap-ups with media this week, so it was a bit of a challenge to find material that wasn't in that vein. I had the On Margins podcast queued up for a few weeks, as it's Craig Mod interviewing a long-time friend and guest W. David Marx about his new book. Both Craig and David were keen to talk in depth about the book, leading to numerous tangents. My only quibble about the podcast was with the eagerness both men had, as they often talked over one another in their excitement. If you can get past that, though, you'll find the discussion about 21st Century culture's elevation of poptimism goes hand-in-hand with the unabashedly pro-commerce approach of tastemakers and influencers, and how "it's popular because it's good" leads directly to "it's good because it's popular." The old idea of "selling out" is apparently as quaint and outdated as rotary phones, as it's now time to get that bag by all means necessary.
Volkswagen's oft-delayed and oft-changed ID.Buzz EV minivan may be a one-and-done model in the US. Word has come out that there won't be a 2026 model year for the ID.Buzz, and its future in this market has yet to be determined. Metafilter's own mathowie documented his drive of the ID.Buzz from Texas to Oregon, both as a way to test out the vehicle in real life and to opine about EV ownership in general. For my upcoming trip to San Diego, I found that an EV rental was surprisingly the cheapest option during my long weekend stay, so I asked myself "why not?" My driving won't be anything like Matt's, as Southern California has a substantial EV infrastructure, whereas a lot of his route didn't.
Side note: you are all fired for not telling me about Larry Dickem. If you aren't familiar, then watch the two episodes I linked above, and thank me later.
Japan seems to have just as much of a love of trains as England. Two examples of this fascination come our way courtesy of travelgeek, who spends one day at a handmade railway made by a bunch of railfan dads, then another night in a train hotel on a recently abandoned railway in Miyazaki Prefecture. The railway was closed as a result of a 2005 typhoon, which unfortunately exacerbated the prefecture's population decline. To travelgeek's credit, he doesn't shy away from showing the rural depopulation, but he also doesn't dwell heavily on it either.
Staying in Japan, the two Japan Times articles are neat bookends for each other. The aforementioned depopulation is one aspect of Japan's overall population decline, which has opened the door for non-Japanese folks to live and work in the country. A weak yen and Expo 2025 combined this year to drive tourism in Japan to an all-time peak, which when combined with the foreign worker influx has meant non-Japanese folks have a larger presence in the country. There's been something of a backlash to this foreign presence which is covered by both articles: the first spells out potential legal changes to real estate ownership, medical bill payments, entry/exit fees for tourists, and Japanese language classes; the second criticizes the emphasis on regulation and order over harmony, as there's still reluctance to admit that foreign workers in Japan are a solution to depopulation and not just a short-term gap.
Finally, it's time to end with podcasts. The holidays have really messed up my listening schedule, so I have quite a backlog to sort through. These particular podcasts happen to be newer than others on my list. ABV Chicago runs down some local-to-Chicago winners from this year's FoBAB, with the Black Horizon beer sounding like a real winner for both L. and myself, though I'd probably sneak in the Cruz Blanca for myself. Meanwhile, the Errant Space podcast was a perfect selection of background music I listened to while polishing up this post. Drone music seems to hit harder in winter for me than other times of year, so as the weather changes from unseasonably warm to something more appropriate for late December, I greatly enjoyed having wormlogo's music in the background.